links for 2011-03-21

  • First of all, a no-fly zone is an act of war. For the nations involved, it means the explicit recognition of the rebel movement as a provisional government and ally. It also means either a commitment to a rebel victory, or the abandonment of a defeated ally.

    In other words, if the no-fly zone is ineffective in shifting the military balance in favour of the rebels, then the pressures to escalate will be immense, and the rebels are likely to request more assistance.